The Earthquake Engineering Online Archive

Uncertainty specification and propagation for loss estimation using FOSM method

Baker, Jack W.; Cornell, C. Allin

PEER-2003/07, Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center, University of California, Berkeley, 2003, 89 pages (400/P33/2003-07)

The estimation of repair costs in future earthquakes is one component of economic loss estimation currently being developed for use in performance-based engineering. The procedure proposed in this report uses the first-order second-moment (FOSM) method to collapse several conditional random variables into a single conditional random variable. A general discussion of element-based loss estimation is presented, and a framework for loss estimation is outlined. A simple numerical calculation is presented to illustrate the mechanics of the procedure.

Available online: http://peer.berkeley.edu/publications/peer_reports/reports_2003/0307.pdf